Mike Irvine - Estimating the total amount of Take-Home Naloxone utilization from kit shipping data: A Bayesian modeling approach

Estimation of the usage of take-home naloxone (THN) kits has been challenging due to their under-reporting in British Columbia (BC) by the distribution sites. To reduce the burden of reporting from THN sites and data entry workload from BCCDC, we proposed a new sampling strategy to sample sites randomly at two time-points each year. To estimate total THN use under this new scheme, we developed and implemented a novel Bayesian model. The model accounts for uncertainty in the rate of kit use, missing data, and has been developed as an R package. We then used the model to assess the potential bias and variance of the naloxone use estimate under this new sample scheme.

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10/10/2023 7:35:00 PM